New research by IHS Automotive states that by 2025, a mere 11 years from now, there will be 230,000 self-driving cars on earth's roadways. By 2035, 9.2-percent of new cars sold will likely self-directed, as costs are driven down to only $3,000 more than a traditionally controlled car.
We are probably to be obsolete soon. Ten years beyond the predicted date, the number will puff up to 11.8 million, although exclusive select models will do without having any traditional means of human control through 2030. By the middle of the 21st century, almost every car on the road will likely be of the self-directed variety.This may only be a study for now, but it is the one that we think might hold some water. Several traditional manufacturers are getting into autonomous-vehicle projects, and they are being joined by players like tech giant Google with many major industry manufacturers.
As for exactly what these numbers will mean for the industry, IHS is only forecasting self-driving cars to make up two-tenths of the percent of product sales in 2025, with cost premiums of $7,000 to $10,000. By 2035, 9.2-percent of new cars sold will likely self-directed, as costs are driven down to only $3,000 more than a traditionally controlled car.
The results of self-driving cars on society, meanwhile, will be more mixed. According to the study, 90-percent of traffic deaths are because of driver’s error, which means anyone must see a decrease in deaths once humans were taken out of the equation. The bad news is, humans who drive as a living – whether it be over-the-road truckers or your friendly UPS driver – are likely to be among the first redundancies as autonomous commercial cars come to be more common.
Should the costs equalize and the technology becomes reliable, would you think about the self-driving or fully autonomous car?
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